Herding Cats

JULY 24, 2017

In this paper, there is data that does not follow the Cone of Uncertainty, in that the uncertainty of the estimates does not reduce as the project proceeds. While the data supports some aspects of the cone of uncertainty, it doesn’t support the most common conclusion that uncertainty significantly decreases as the project progresses.

2007 42

2007 2012 2006 2008 42

Herding Cats

OCTOBER 16, 2018

The book that contains that paper and provides the specific approach to modeling the future is Statistics for Experimenters: An Introduction to Design, Data Analysis, and Model Building , Georg E. Data from the past is useful but that data is just that - data from the past. Performance Analysis and Prediction .

Aerospace 41

Aerospace Engineering 2012 2014 41

Leading Agile

JULY 3, 2023

And, you know, ultimately the thing that slows software development down is fear of change. There’s people who know how to automate things, especially like a software development, and there’s people who know how to automate things. Also, review performance measures.

Software Review 119

Software Review Fractional CTO Technical Review Agile 119

Herding Cats

AUGUST 19, 2016

Rarely the case in software development, where Little's Law is misused often. The OP claimed Goodhart's Law was the source of most of the problems with software development. What this says is again when the measure becomes the target, that target impacts the measure, changing the target. .

Performance Measurement 28

Performance Measurement Estimate Software Developers Software Development 28

Herding Cats

JANUARY 22, 2017

- How much variance reduction needs to take place - in any and all the project attributes (risk, effectiveness, performance, cost, schedule - shown below) at what points in time, to increase the probability of project success. The Cone is NOT the result of the project's past performance. When you hear. . Resources. [1]

Technical Review 28

Technical Review 2005 Estimate Software Review 28

Herding Cats

OCTOBER 27, 2016

There are two kinds of uncertainty on all projects, no matter the domain, including software development projects. Facts are the relevant data, information, and knowledge used in the process of assessing the alternatives against the values in order to make the decision. The Notion of Enterprise Software Development.

2009 28

2009 2015 Influencer Performance Measurement 28

Herding Cats

FEBRUARY 4, 2017

This is the paradigm of the Cone of Uncertainty - it's a planned development compliance engineering tool, not an after the fact data collection tool. The Cone is NOT the result of the project's past performance. This is a closed loop control system for managing the program with a T echnical Performance Measure (TPM).

Technical Review 28

Technical Review Estimate 2005 Software Review 28

Herding Cats

JANUARY 14, 2017

This is a closed loop control system for managing the program with a T echnical Performance Measure (TPM). There can be cost and schedule performance measures as well. And as the program proceeds the variances measures on those items move toward compliance of the target number in this case Weight.

Technical Review 28

Technical Review Software Review Underperforming Technical Team Risk Management 28

Herding Cats

JUNE 9, 2018

System One is an unconscious system that is automatic, fast, efficient at using the data or experience it already knows. The business draws upon microeconomic data to make a variety of critical choices – any one of which could mean the success or failure of their enterprise. 5] "Decisions in software development projects management.

Transportation 39

Transportation Software Engineering Finance 2011 39

Herding Cats

AUGUST 27, 2017

Although I understand measuring productivity could work well for repeatable activities, it's hard to believe it works well for abstract and, ultimately, non-repeatable tasks like software development. Thus, the common approach to "measure productivity" is to compare the estimates against what, in fact, happened.

Estimate 46

Estimate Software Review Underperforming Technical Team Technical Review 46

Herding Cats

JANUARY 17, 2017

- How much variance reduction needs to take place - in any and all the project attributes (risk, effectiveness, performance, cost, schedule - shown below) at what points in time, to increase the probability of project success. The Cone is NOT the result of the project's past performance. IEEE Software, March-April 2009, pp.

Technical Review 28

Technical Review 2005 Estimate Software Review 28

Herding Cats

FEBRUARY 9, 2018

Drawing Unsupported Conclusions from Incomplete and Inconclusive Data, it is not only natural but also laudable, to seek evidence that confirms something that we hold to be true. In the project domain, an estimate is a calculated approximation of some desired measurement. Let's look at what an estimate is. First a definition.

Underperforming Technical Team 44

Underperforming Technical Team Estimate 2003 Software Review 44

Herding Cats

AUGUST 1, 2018

Since there has been some confusion around the CoU in the past, about whether it can be reduced, whether there is credible data showing it is valid or not, whether those claiming it can't be reduced have any Root Cause Analysis as to why it wasn;t reduced, I thought I'd included the references we're using. So here's the outcome.

2012 29

2012 2007 2010 2006 29

Herding Cats

JUNE 9, 2018

System One is an unconscious system that is automatic, fast, efficient at using the data or experience it already knows. The business draws upon microeconomic data to make a variety of critical choices – any one of which could mean the success or failure of their enterprise. 5] "Decisions in software development projects management.

Transportation 28

Transportation Software Engineering Finance 2011 28

Herding Cats

MARCH 4, 2017

This is an immutable principle that impacts planning, execution, performance measures, decision making, risk, budgeting, and overall business and technical management of the project and the business funding the project no matter the domain, context, technology or any methods. All project work operates in the presence of uncertainty.

2010 28

2010 2007 Estimate Aerospace 28

Herding Cats

MARCH 30, 2019

Agile software development is framed by a manifesto , a set of 12 principles, several methods. These are all focused on developing software, delivering that software to those paying the developers. Anything less results in systems not worth having or fail to function or perform. [3],

Software Developers 39

Software Developers Software Development Agile Software 39

Herding Cats

MARCH 11, 2018

Take for example the deployment of an ERP system, the installation, and startup of a process control system, the release of a suite of embedded software controllers for a car, aircraft, petrochemical plant. A recent survey of 600 firms indicated that 35% of them had at least one "runaway' software project. Now To Risk Management.

Software Developers 34

Software Developers Software Development Risk Management Risk 34

Herding Cats

APRIL 16, 2019

Project Performance Management (#PPM). Technical Performance Measures (#TPM). Cost, Schedule, and Technical Performance Management (#CSTPM). Product Development (#ProdDev). Agile Software Development (#ASD). Those lessons are directly transferable to the management of software development teams.

Technical Review 42

Technical Review Performance Measurement Underperforming Technical Team Governance 42

Herding Cats

APRIL 5, 2016

There a popular notions in the agile development world that authors like Hayek and Taleb speak to how software development works. Let's look at the thesis of Hayek in light of software development and the decisions that must be made when spending other people's money in the presence of uncertainty. probably not.

Software Developers 28

Software Developers Software Development Software Review Software 28

Rebel’s Guide to PM

SEPTEMBER 26, 2016

It covered identifying requirements, interconnecting tasks, resources, planned values, actual values, baselines, performance measures, forecast techniques and timesheets. It’s rework to rekey the data into both systems. That’s not efficient, even if both systems are ‘digital’.

Software Review 150

Software Review Software Technical Review PMI 150

Workamajig

JANUARY 11, 2021

Analogous Estimating : Analogous estimating, describes a technique for estimating the cost or duration of an activity or project based on historical data from similar activities or projects. Dynamic Systems Development Method (DSDM): An agile software development methodology that uses an iterative, incremental approach to project execution.

Underperforming Technical Team 78

Underperforming Technical Team Project Life Cycle Estimate Risk Management 78

Herding Cats

NOVEMBER 5, 2018

The time average of task completion delay (for the Whole Project) will always be higher (data suggests ~60%) than the ensemble average single task averages) because (at least) ensemble average delays downplays #Blackswans. Software Development execution and modeling is Microeconomics not Macro. The thread goes on to say.

Software Review 34

Software Review Technical Review Estimate Software Developers 34

Wrike

NOVEMBER 7, 2018

The data and statistics below are sorted into categories so you can quickly skim to find the information you need. Project Management Software & Tools. 77% of companies use project management software, and 87% of high-performing companies use project management software. [5]. Re-entering lost data: 45%.

2015 60

2015 Technical Review Underperforming Technical Team Software Review 60

Herding Cats

JUNE 7, 2018

That would mine all the User Stories are standalone pieces of software. That means the system architecture, the process flow, the data flow architecture components all how NO dependencies on other. This makes no sense for any development project beyond a de minimis project. Actual software process flows contain loops.

Underperforming Technical Team 32

Underperforming Technical Team SCRUM Software Engineering Risk Management 32

Herding Cats

JUNE 7, 2018

That would mine all the User Stories are standalone pieces of software. That means the system architecture, the process flow, the data flow architecture components all how NO dependencies on other. This makes no sense for any development project beyond a de minimis project. Actual software process flows contain loops.

Underperforming Technical Team 28

Underperforming Technical Team SCRUM Software Engineering Risk Management 28

MPUG

JUNE 1, 2022

Melanie: Jeff is currently the Training and Development Manager for Edwards Performance Solutions. As such, he oversees the production and maintenance of courses on project management, systems engineering, software development, business process improvement, and cyber security. Unbiased, reliable data.

PMI 59

PMI Software Review Estimate Risk Management 59