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A Compendium of Works to Increase the Probability of Project Success

Herding Cats

Here are my collected works, presentations, briefings, journal papers, articles, white papers, and essays, used to increase the Probability of Project Success (PoPS) I've developed and applied over my career in the software-intensive system of systems domain. Capabilities Based Planning. Capabilities Based Planning (V2).

2003 54
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Misunderstanding Making Decisions in the Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

What happens if you shift focus from "accurate estimation" to "reliably shipping by a date"? . If your project has no uncertainty, there is no need to estimate. Our knowledge of this world - the planned and actual behaviors of the project. First, let's establish a principle. There is a probability of an event.

2003 46
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Compendium of Works to Increase Probability of Project Success

Herding Cats

Here's a collection of presentations, briefings, papers, essays, book content used to increase the Probability of Project Success (PoPS) I've written and applied over my career in the software-intensive system of systems and other domains. Planning and Scheduling (#PS). Integrated Master Plan and Master Schedule (#IMPIMS).

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What is an Estimate? What is Estimating?

Herding Cats

I work in a domain where estimates are made every single week. Estimate to Complete (ETC), Estimate at Completion (EAC), Estimated Completion Date (ECD) are the life blood of our software intensive system of systems programs. In Agile the Product Roadmap and Release Plan are the basis of the PMB.

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Digital Transformation & Artificial Intelligence: Is your Organization ready?

Digite

AI is changing the world and the lives of people and is becoming the engine of growth of economies and organizations. In the last 10 years, advances in both computing technology and software, and access to large amounts of data, (thanks to the Internet and SaaS/ Cloud-based systems) are enabling the resurgence of AI.

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A Wrap Up of the #NoEstimating Conjecture Analysis to Date

Herding Cats

The conjecture that we can make decisions in the presence of uncertainty without estimating the impacts of those decisions is without any principles that can be tested beyond personal anecdotes of I know people who spend other peoples money without providing estimates. Not a group that likes to get questions, by the way.

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DDSTOP The Saga Continues

Herding Cats

There's been a rash of conjectures about all kinds of bad business, project, and software development (agile and traditional) management ideas of late. This also meant developing software systems to support this effort. 40 - Estimation is a Problematic Practice of Companies Doing Dangerous Things.