Epicflow Blog

AUGUST 5, 2021

But with changes come challenges: as the smart technology becomes mainstream, it becomes clear that it will reduce the number of workers required for certain tasks both in manufacturing and in other sectors of human employment. Jobs that are at high risk for being replaced by AI. Jobs that are at low risk for being replaced by AI.

Artificial Inteligence 98

Artificial Inteligence 2025 Technical Review Software Review 98

Herding Cats

NOVEMBER 27, 2016

An Estimate is a value inferred for a population of values based on data collected from a sample of data from that population. The estimate can also be produced parametrically or through a simulation (Monte Carlo is common, but Method of Moments is another we use). . Estimates can be about the past, present, or future.

Estimate 36

Estimate 2015 2017 Government 36

Herding Cats

MAY 11, 2019

This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to manage the risk encountered on software-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. Let's start with a critical understanding of the purpose of managing risk on software development projects. reducible and irreducible

Risk Management 35

Risk Management Risk Technical Review 2002 35

Herding Cats

MAY 11, 2018

There's a fallacy used by some in the software development business, that estimates are not needed to make decisions in the presence of uncertainty. These planning and controls activities always take place in the presence of uncertainty, which of course creates risk. Determinism was debunked long ago. Related articles.

Estimate 39

Estimate 2015 Controlling Closing 39

Herding Cats

AUGUST 27, 2017

There's a recent post titled Four Fallacious Reasons to Estimate. It lists the usual suspects for why those spending the money think they don't have to estimate how much they plan to spend when they'll be done producing the value they've been assigned to produce for that expenditure. Let's look at each one in more detail.

Estimate 46

Estimate Software Review Underperforming Technical Team Technical Review 46

Herding Cats

MARCH 17, 2019

Business, Technical, Systems, Risk, and Project Management. Managment Processes. Nine Best Practices of Project Management , Software Program Managers Network (SPMN). Top Habits of Successful Project Managers. The Nine "I's" of Program Success ," College of Performance Management.

2003 54

2003 2011 2008 Performance Measurement 54

Wrike

JUNE 11, 2023

Process modeling is a crucial aspect of project management. Here are a few key reasons why it should be an integral part of your project management approach: Improved Efficiency: By visualizing the process flow, project teams can identify redundant or unnecessary steps, enabling them to streamline operations and improve overall efficiency.

Process 36

Process Software Review Manufacturing Software Developers 36

Epicflow Blog

AUGUST 5, 2021

But with changes come challenges: as the smart technology becomes mainstream, it becomes clear that it will reduce the number of workers required for certain tasks both in manufacturing and in other sectors of human employment. Jobs that are at high risk for being replaced by AI. Jobs that are at low risk for being replaced by AI.

Artificial Inteligence 52

Artificial Inteligence 2025 Technical Review Software Review 52

Herding Cats

OCTOBER 5, 2018

The primary purpose of software estimation is not to predict a project’s outcome; it is to determine whether a project’s targets are realistic enough to allow the project to be controlled to meet them ? This variation can be explained by the fact that initial concepts do not describe the final software system accurate enough.

2012 48

2012 2007 2011 2010 48

TrustRadius Project Management

OCTOBER 27, 2022

The bigger you are the harder you fall–unless you have a powerful management structure for your team of course. If you want to ensure that your team can manage their complex projects and operations, ERP software may be the solution. An ERP goal is to make your team’s workload easier to manage with a robust set of tools.

Software Review 62

Software Review Software Technical Review Artificial Inteligence 62

TrustRadius Project Management

OCTOBER 27, 2022

The bigger you are the harder you fall–unless you have a powerful management structure for your team of course. If you want to ensure that your team can manage their complex projects and operations, ERP software may be the solution. An ERP goal is to make your team’s workload easier to manage with a robust set of tools.

Software Review 62

Software Review Software Technical Review Artificial Inteligence 62

Herding Cats

APRIL 14, 2018

Software development is a Value Creaton activity, but Value cannot be determined unless we know the cost to produce that value and when that value will be available for use by those who of paid for that Value. For software development, those scarce resources are people, time, and money. Microeconomics .

Process 45

Process Estimate Software Developers Software Development 45

Herding Cats

DECEMBER 28, 2017

Estimation is pretentious rationalism, where rationalism does not serve us well (extremistan)(sic) Take only risks you can survive. These estimates can not the ultimate truth since the underlying processes that create the uncertainties (aleatory and epistemic) are stochastic in nature - stationary or nonstationary. The Fallacy.

2009 40

2009 Estimate Software Developers Software Development 40

Herding Cats

APRIL 2, 2018

You don't estimate it. There are other means, but for software estimating the mean is the correct term. . All the variables in software development are random variables. Architecture -Center ERP Systems in the Manufacturing Domain. IT Risk Management. You know it based on real data.

Estimate 38

Estimate Software Developers Software Development Manufacturing 38

Herding Cats

MAY 29, 2018

In the presence of irreducible and reducible uncertainties of nature, as well as the projects we work, calculating the mathematical outcomes from our decision means making estimates. Software is only valuable when it produces information that enables people and systems to meet their objectives more effectively. IT Risk Management.

2017 28

2017 Estimate Manufacturing Software Developers 28

Herding Cats

JUNE 9, 2017

For software development, there are many decisions to be made. What Feature to develop next ? Do we have enough time and money to develop the needed Features before the business needs to put those Features to work earned back their investment? Architecture -Center ERP Systems in the Manufacturing Domain.

Software 51

Software Software Engineering Estimate Manufacturing 51

Herding Cats

OCTOBER 27, 2017

Asking to be trusted , asking to be allowed to self-organize and spend other people's money in the development of value. Many times asking to not be asked for an estimate, or to show progress to plan, or to not be held to a deadline, or to report on when they'll be done. Architecture -Center ERP Systems in the Manufacturing Domain.

Manufacturing 39

Manufacturing Estimate Software Developers Software Development 39

Herding Cats

APRIL 13, 2018

Estimation locks down choices early through upfront t decision making, #NoEstimates preserves options. Real Options the management the needed flexibility to take actions, in the presence of uncertainty, that itself emerges over time. Some require memberships (IEEE, ACM), which any credible project manager should have anyway.

2008 32

2008 2002 Estimate Software Engineering 32

Herding Cats

MARCH 21, 2018

Firm-fixed-price contracts are depicted as existing on the extreme left of the continuum of risk. As we progress through the various fixed-price flavors and into cost-type contracts, the assertion is that risk shifts from the vendor to the supplier. . All Risk is Created by Uncertainty . They are not.

Risk 47

Risk Estimate Risk Management Manufacturing 47

Herding Cats

DECEMBER 3, 2017

The planned uncertainty not only needs to decrease over time passing, but this reduction diminishes any impacts of risk on the decision-making processes. Seems there is still some confusion (intentional or accidental) about the Cone of Uncertainty and its purpose and its use in software development. This letter states.

2007 34

2007 2012 2009 2010 34

Herding Cats

FEBRUARY 14, 2018

Yesterday's Post Epistemic Uncertainty Creates Reducible Risk and What Is Risk? Risk is not there to be mitigated, it's there to be eliminated. Risk is the result of uncertainty, which comes in two kinds for all projects, for everything actually. Irreducible Schedule Risk. This, of course, is not factually true.

Risk 37

Risk Estimate Manufacturing Risk Management 37

Binfire

APRIL 7, 2017

The Agile project management methodology has been used in the software development and IT industry for the past sixteen years, but recently it has gained wide acceptance by many number of industries and organizations. History of Agile project management. No wounder so many projects were failing.

Agile 100

Agile Technical Review Software Review Development Team Review 100

Herding Cats

SEPTEMBER 27, 2017

"Iterative and Incremental Development: A Brief History," Craig Larman and Victor Basili, IEEE Computer , June 2003. Managing the Development of Large-Scale Software: Concepts and Techniques," Winston Royce, Proceedings, Wescon, August 1970. Architecture -Center ERP Systems in the Manufacturing Domain.

2003 38

2003 Software Engineering Manufacturing Engineering 38

Binfire

AUGUST 27, 2017

The Agile project management methodology has been used by software engineers and IT professionals for the past sixteen years. The reason for this surge in popularity is quite understandable, the majority of projects benefit when managed using lean concepts promoted by Agile project management methodology.

Agile 97

Agile Technical Review Software Review Development Team Review 97

Herding Cats

MARCH 3, 2018

Our project management, software development world the more so. . The classic that happened yesterday was yet another misuse of the Standish Report, long debunked, to claim estimates p[rovide no value, in fact, estimates are the source of the reason why projects fail. IT Risk Management.

Manufacturing 31

Manufacturing Estimate Software Developers Software Development 31

Herding Cats

JULY 5, 2016

This quote is misused to suggest that estimating can't be done. He's speaking about Chess playing program - and doing so from the perspective of 1978 style software development. Agile Software Development in the DOD. Risk Management is How Adults Manage Projects. IT Risk Management.

Estimate 34

Estimate Software Developers Software Development Manufacturing 34

Techno-PM

JUNE 20, 2023

In the realm of project management, successful execution relies on the intricate interplay of various elements, one of the most crucial being dependencies. Understanding and effectively managing these dependencies are fundamental to ensuring the smooth flow and timely completion of a project. This is the most common type of dependency.

Software Review 28

Software Review Risk Management Manufacturing Construction 28

Herding Cats

JANUARY 11, 2018

This is the basis of all Closed Loop Control systems, from the speed control of the car, to the flight controls for an aircraft, to the temperature controls for your home, and of course the business controls for software development. Right and wrong cease to be useful concepts when you’re talking about software development.

Agile 39

Agile Software Developers Software Development Estimate 39

Herding Cats

APRIL 10, 2017

I've been working in the probabilistic estimating business for a decade or two. . As well - of course - is the nonsense that Forecasts are not estimates, popularized by #NoEstimates advocates. As well - of course - is the nonsense that Forecasts are not estimates, popularized by #NoEstimates advocates. IT Risk Management.

Estimate 31

Estimate Manufacturing Controlling Software Developers 31

Herding Cats

FEBRUARY 9, 2018

Here's an extract from "Chapter 8: Human Behavior and Complexity," Terry Cooke-Davies, in Aspects of Complexity: Managing Projects in a Complex World. This is a cautionary tale for those listening to the #NoEstimates advocates, where anecdotes of bad management are used in an attempt to replace established principles of business management.

Underperforming Technical Team 44

Underperforming Technical Team Estimate 2003 Software Review 44

Wrike

JUNE 2, 2022

Cycle time is a calculation that comes from the world of lean manufacturing. In software engineering , it refers to how long it takes to deploy code, or in supply chain management, it can explain how long it takes to fulfill a product order. But, industry aside, it also applies when managing projects of any size.

Software Review 36

Software Review Manufacturing Estimate Lean 36

Herding Cats

JANUARY 28, 2018

These no domain, no context statement are fallacious to start and then used as fodder to further the myth, the simple and simple-minded concept will fix the root causes of most all software development projects, including the problems with the development of MRO's flight and ground software. . IT Risk Management.

Manufacturing 35

Manufacturing Estimate Controlling Software Developers 35

Herding Cats

APRIL 17, 2016

There's a meme going around in some parts of agile that management is inhumane. This is an extreme view of course, likely informed by anecdotal experience with Bad Management, or worse lack of actual management experience. Managing in the presence of Agile is not the same as managing in traditional domains.

Agile 28

Agile Governance Government Manufacturing 28

Leading Agile

NOVEMBER 13, 2018

What are the limitations and risks of metaphor? More on this later under the heading of “risk.” “Velocity” in software development doesn’t mean velocity. ” What are the Limitations and Risks of Metaphor? Estimated hours completed? What is a metaphor not ? Story points?

Software Review 88

Software Review Underperforming Technical Team Software Developers Software Development 88

Herding Cats

JANUARY 19, 2018

Have sufficient Contingent Budget and Management Reserve to cover the cost variances from the naturally occurring cost behaviors, event-based impacts on cost, or cover things that go wrong with the Risk Cost coverage. These uncertainties create a risk to all three entities of the project. IT Risk Management.

Performance Measurement 31

Performance Measurement Estimate Finance Manufacturing 31

Herding Cats

SEPTEMBER 5, 2017

So what about bad ideas in the project management world, especialy the Agile Software Development world. One starting point is to ask if the ideas have any basis in a principle of how business or development of software actually works? Architecture -Center ERP Systems in the Manufacturing Domain.

Governance 40

Governance Government 2016 Manufacturing 40

Herding Cats

MAY 29, 2018

In the presence of irreducible and reducible uncertainties of nature, as well as the projects we work, calculating the mathematical outcomes from our decision means making estimates. Software is only valuable when it produces information that enables people and systems to meet their objectives more effectively. IT Risk Management.

2017 19

2017 Estimate Manufacturing Software Developers 19