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Deconstructing The Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

The paper on the Cone of Uncertainty is used by many in the No Estimates community as an example of why estimates are of little use. In this paper, there is data that does not follow the Cone of Uncertainty, in that the uncertainty of the estimates does not reduce as the project proceeds. Then there is some analysis.

2007 42
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Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

requires making estimates) ? Project risk management: lessons learned from software development environment,” Young Hoon Kwak and Jim Stoddard,” Technovation , 24(11), pp. Estimation of Long?Term Project Risk Management: Lessons Learned from Software Development Environment,” Y. reducible and irreducible ?

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A Compendium of Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to manage the risk encountered on software-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. Let's start with a critical understanding of the purpose of managing risk on software development projects. requires making estimates) ? Estimation of Long?Term

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Cone of Uncertainty - Part Cinq

Herding Cats

The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). the beginning of a project, comparatively little is known about the product or work results, and so estimates are subject to large uncertainty.

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Cone of Uncertainty - Part Trois

Herding Cats

The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). the beginning of a project, comparatively little is known about the product or work results, and so estimates are subject to large uncertainty.

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Cone of Uncertainty - Part Cinq (Updated)

Herding Cats

The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). Estimates are needed but are subject to large level of uncertainty. This is due to many reasons.

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Misinterpretations of the Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

The Cone of Uncertainty is a framing assumption used to model the needed reduction in some parameter of interest in domains ranging from software development to hurricane forecasting. Closed Loop Stochastic Adaptive control in the presence of Evolving Uncertainty. This extended post covers.