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Reading List for the Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

The primary purpose of software estimation is not to predict a project’s outcome; it is to determine whether a project’s targets are realistic enough to allow the project to be controlled to meet them ? The difficulty of accurate size estimation is compounded especially at the time of inception when very little information is available.

2012 48
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Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

requires making estimates) ? Estimation of Long?Term Risk Analysis & Estimating Uncertainty … and what this has to do with the price of milk in McLean,” Phil Beenhouwer, The Society of Cost Estimating & Analysis (SCEA), May 17, 2006. Making these decisions in the presence Uncertainty ? reducible and irreducible ?

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A Compendium of Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

requires making estimates) ? Estimation of Long?Term Risk Analysis & Estimating Uncertainty … and what this has to do with the price of milk in McLean,” Phil Beenhouwer, The Society of Cost Estimating & Analysis (SCEA), May 17, 2006. Making these decisions in the presence Uncertainty ? reducible and irreducible ?

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Misunderstanding Making Decisions in the Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

What happens if you shift focus from "accurate estimation" to "reliably shipping by a date"? . If your project has no uncertainty, there is no need to estimate. All estimates have precision and accuracy. Deciding how much precision and accuracy is needed for a credible estimate is critical to the success of that decision.

2003 46
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Fallacy of the Day

Herding Cats

Measures of Performance - are performance measures that characterize physical or functional attributes relating to the system operation, measured or estimated under specific conditions. Reinventing Project Management , Aaron Shenhar and Dov Dvir, Harvard Business Press, 2007. Measures of Performance. Let's look at the differences.

2005 37
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Cone of Uncertainty - Part Cinq

Herding Cats

The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). the beginning of a project, comparatively little is known about the product or work results, and so estimates are subject to large uncertainty.

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Cone of Uncertainty - Part Trois

Herding Cats

The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). the beginning of a project, comparatively little is known about the product or work results, and so estimates are subject to large uncertainty.