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Reading List for the Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

The Cone of Uncertainty is a useful approach to defining the expected range of uncertainty at specific stages in a project. The primary purpose of software estimation is not to predict a project’s outcome; it is to determine whether a project’s targets are realistic enough to allow the project to be controlled to meet them ?

2012 48
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The Diversity of Project Manager Position Types: How to Choose a Job Among Different Titles

Epicflow Blog

The industry a PM works in defines the specifics of projects. . Project Controller works closely with a project manager on defining project goals and scope, making the schedule, controlling the flow and performance, and implementing changes if something goes wrong. Document Controller manages project documentation. References.

PMO 82
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Resources for Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

Some feel that the cone does not provide any value for the work they do and does not match the reducing uncertainty in their estimates. First, the Cone of Uncertainty is a Principle used to define the needed reduction in the variances of estimates on Programs. This letter states.

2007 34
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Fallacy of the Day

Herding Cats

1] This is the foundation of Capabilities Based Planning, The Capabilities must be defines before the Requirements are elicited. Why Guessing is not Estimating and Estimating is not Guessing. If the fallacy above, intentionally ignoring this process would be needed to seperate the doers from the thinkers. Related articles.

2007 31
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Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

requires making estimates) ? Defining Uncertainty in Projects ? Estimation of Long?Term Risk Analysis & Estimating Uncertainty … and what this has to do with the price of milk in McLean,” Phil Beenhouwer, The Society of Cost Estimating & Analysis (SCEA), May 17, 2006. reducible and irreducible ?

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A Compendium of Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

requires making estimates) ? Defining Uncertainty in Projects ? Estimation of Long?Term Risk Analysis & Estimating Uncertainty … and what this has to do with the price of milk in McLean,” Phil Beenhouwer, The Society of Cost Estimating & Analysis (SCEA), May 17, 2006. reducible and irreducible ?

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Why Johnny Can't Do The Math

Herding Cats

In a previous post, Why Johnny Can't Estimate , mentioned some resources for estimating, the principles of business and technical management that demand estimates be made to make decisions, and background on the sources of uncertainty, that create risk, that require estimating to increase the probability of project success.