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14 Common Project Risks (+ more)

Girl's Guide to PM

Risks matter. That’s the point of risk management: thinking about what might go wrong before it does, so you can put a plan together to deal with it if it does. What’s a risk again? Yep, risks can be a good thing – with a positive effect. Internal risks.

Software Estimating Resources

Herding Cats

This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to estimate software-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. The reason for this resource page is the lack of understanding of how to estimate, the urban myths about software estimating, and the fallacies that estimating is not needed, when developing software, in the presence of uncertainty, when spending other peoples money. Estimating Probable System Cost,” Stephen A. 245, 2008.

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Estimating is a Learned Skill

Herding Cats

Estimating is a learned skill, used for any purpose from every-day life to management of projects. When I left for the airport this morning to catch my flight to a customer site I estimated, given the conditions, how much time I need to get to my favorite parking spot at DIA. The same process for estimating is applied to multi-billion dollar projects we work. Here's some materials that provide the tools and processes needed to learn how to estimate.

Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

Risk Management is essential for development and production programs. Risk issues that can be identified early in the program, which will potentially impact the program later, termed Known Unknowns and can be alleviated with good risk management. requires making estimates) ? Effective Risk Management 2 nd Edition , Edmund Conrow, AIAA, 2003. Risk Management is Project Management for Adults - Tim Lister. 3, 2008.

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A Compendium of Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to manage the risk encountered on software-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. Let's start with a critical understanding of the purpose of managing risk on software development projects. Risk Management is essential for development and production programs. requires making estimates) ? Effective Risk Management 2nd Edition, Edmund Conrow, AIAA, 2003.

2012 33

A Compendium of Works to Increase the Probability of Project Success

Herding Cats

Business, Technical, Systems, Risk, and Project Management. Managment Processes. Nine Best Practices of Project Management , Software Program Managers Network (SPMN). Top Habits of Successful Project Managers. Project Governance. Integrated Master Plan: The Foundation of Program Success , College of Performance Management, May 21, 2014. The Nine "I's" of Program Success ," College of Performance Management. Agile Project Management.

2008 45

Compendium of Works to Increase Probability of Project Success

Herding Cats

Business, Technical, Systems, Risk, and Project Management Briefings and Presentations. Management Processes (#MP). Project Performance Management (#PPM). Agile Project Management (#APM). Risk Management (#RM). Cost, Schedule, and Technical Performance Management (#CSTPM). Governance (#Governance). Earned Value Management (#EVM). Integrating Agile and Earned Value Management (#AEVM). Management Processes.

2015 37

Misunderstanding Making Decisions in the Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

What happens if you shift focus from "accurate estimation" to "reliably shipping by a date"? . If your project has no uncertainty, there is no need to estimate. Uncertainty is related to three aspects of the management of projects: The external world - the activities of the project itself. The risk is created when we have not accounted for this natural variances in our management plan for the project. An aleatory risk is expressed as a relation to a value.

Cone of Uncertainty - Part Cinq

Herding Cats

The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). Estimates of cost, schedule, technical performance on the left side of the cone have a lower probability of being precise and accurate than estimates on the right side of the cone. Aleatory and Epistemic uncertainties, which create the risk to the success of the project.

2017 33

Cone of Uncertainty - Part Cinq (Updated)

Herding Cats

The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). Estimates of cost, schedule, technical performance on the left side of the cone have a lower probability of being precise and accurate than estimates on the right side of the cone. Aleatory and Epistemic uncertainties, which create the risk to the success of the project.

2017 30

Cone of Uncertainty - Part Trois

Herding Cats

The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). Estimates of cost, schedule, technical performance on the left side of the cone have a lower probability of being precise and accurate than estimates on the right side of the cone. Aleatory and Epistemic uncertainties, which create the risk to the success of the project.

2017 28

Why Johnny Can't Do The Math

Herding Cats

In a previous post, Why Johnny Can't Estimate , mentioned some resources for estimating, the principles of business and technical management that demand estimates be made to make decisions, and background on the sources of uncertainty, that create risk, that require estimating to increase the probability of project success. One of the #Noestimates advocates has now discovered a phrase: Estimates are non-ergodic.

Black Swans

Herding Cats

One of the books used by a vocal No Estimates advocate is Black Swans by Nassim Taleb. Here's a book review from 2008, about Black Swans and Fooled By Randomness in the context of managing software development in the presence of uncertainty. All is good so far until he mentions these concepts are applicable to the management of projects. What struck me was how disconnected Taleb is from the profession of project management. Acquiring Data Retires Risk.

2002 32

Cone of Uncertainty Bibliography

Herding Cats

I work in a domain where the CoU is baked into the Integrated Program Performance Management (IPPM) processes flowed down from the buyer, in this case, the Federal Government. This can be the confidence in the estimate for any variable. The CoU is a build-to paradigm, where measures of the program's performance cumulative to date is used to inform the risk for future performance. IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management , 57 (4), pp.

2017 32

Black Swans

Herding Cats

One of the books used by a vocal No Estimates advocate is Black Swans by Nassim Taleb. Here's a book review from 2008, about Black Swans and Fooled By Randomness in the context of managing software development in the presence of uncertainty. All is good so far until he mentions these concepts are applicable to the management of projects. What struck me was how disconnected Taleb is from the profession of project management. Acquiring Data Retires Risk.

2002 28

When projects go wrong and it's the worst possible moment

Susanne Madsen

​A project is a unique undertaking that’s full of risk and uncertainty, because it has never been done before in that exact way. Project management, as a discipline, is a response to this ambiguity. Just consider the most important techniques we use as project managers: we define scope, analyse requirements, plan and estimate work, add contingency, manage risks, track changes and check the quality. Project failure project management mistakes

2018 69