Herding Cats

OCTOBER 5, 2018

There is a discussion of the conjecture that estimates are a waste, estimates can't be done, estimates are evil, estimates must be stopped immediately. To be informed how to estimate in this broad range of domains, problems, and impacts — education, experience, and skill are needed. illities are a waste.

Estimate 40

Estimate Engineering Software Engineering Software Developers 40

Herding Cats

MAY 17, 2017

Agile software development is a software development process. Related articles. Herding Cats: How to Talk About Estimates. Herding Cats: Book of the Month. It is popular to state that Agile IS Risk Management - but that is not correct. Risk Management is a process as well. from Glen Alleman.

Software Developers 38

Software Developers Software Development Risk Management Risk 38

Scrum.org

MARCH 16, 2020

I believe Agile software development is more than ready to use new forecasting techniques to express uncertainy to narrow their decision-making process. These new forecasting techniques are not based on estimations but historical data, thus saving time on the part of developers to focus on what they do best.

Agile 189

Agile Underperforming Technical Team 2030 Estimate 189

Herding Cats

MAY 11, 2017

It was mathematically based, converting equations in books to Fortran using pre-written parts from the IBM Scientific Subroutine Package. Signal processing is a domain of software development well suited to the paradigm of engineered systems. Software-intensive systems include: . large-scale heterogeneous systems, †.

Software Developers 39

Software Developers Software Development Engineering Software 39

Scrum.org

OCTOBER 16, 2022

He is also the co-author of the Kanban Guide and author of the books “Actionable Agile Metrics for Predictability” and “When Will It Be Done?”. How do you estimate the impact on the throughput when adding new people to the team? And from scientific research to software development. So, What’s The Verdict?

SCRUM 167

SCRUM Agile Controlling Defining 167

Herding Cats

JUNE 24, 2016

I've started reading Vasco's book #NoEstimates and will write a detailed deconstruction. Let's start with some graphs that have been around and their misinformation that forms the basis of the book. If the project was over budget, was the needed budget estimate correct? The book needs a professional editor.

Software Review 44

Software Review 2004 Estimate Budget 44

MPUG

APRIL 29, 2020

Please find below a transcription of the audio portion of Oliver Gildersleeve’s Analogous and Parametric Estimating Schedule Template webinar being provided by MPUG for the convenience of our members. The new schedule template covers both analogous and parametric estimating features. Kyle: More on Oliver. Oliver: Thank you Kyle.

Estimate 52

Estimate Software Review Risk Management Risk 52

Herding Cats

MARCH 23, 2017

In the estimating business, like many things in project management, there is confusion about principles, practices, and processes. A good estimation approach should provide estimates that are within 25% of the actual results, 75% of the time. The book this statement comes from is Conte, S. Dunsmore and V.Y.

Estimate 32

Estimate Software Engineering Engineering Information Technology 32

Herding Cats

APRIL 15, 2017

I posted some comments on the #NoEstimates book awhile back. Why estimates don't work - Carmen is assigned a project that will make or break the company. This is a classic example used in the book of making seriously bad management decisions. . This quote is misused to suggest that estimating can't be done.

Underperforming Technical Team 35

Underperforming Technical Team Estimate Software Developers Software Development 35

Herding Cats

MAY 9, 2017

It seems of late there is a campaign in the software development community, especially in the agile community where ignorance is a virtue. The book The Death of Expertise is a continuation of a paper by the author in the Federalist. This book explains how the death of expertise has now crept into most corners of must domains.

Estimate 28

Estimate Software Developers Software Development Information Technology 28

Herding Cats

MARCH 3, 2018

Our project management, software development world the more so. . The classic that happened yesterday was yet another misuse of the Standish Report, long debunked, to claim estimates p[rovide no value, in fact, estimates are the source of the reason why projects fail. Related articles. IT Risk Management.

Manufacturing 31

Manufacturing Estimate Software Developers Software Development 31

Herding Cats

NOVEMBER 3, 2016

Since all risk comes from uncertainty - reducible (Epistemic) and irreducible (Aleatory), estimating is a foundation of all we do. There is no discussion of the conjecture that estimates are a waste, estimates can't be done, estimates are evil, estimates must be stopped immediately. illities are a waste.

Estimate 28

Estimate Software Engineering Engineering Risk Management 28

Herding Cats

APRIL 10, 2017

I've been working in the probabilistic estimating business for a decade or two. . One of the seminal books that started it all is Short-Term Forecasting. As well - of course - is the nonsense that Forecasts are not estimates, popularized by #NoEstimates advocates. Related articles. Do The Math. Doing the Math.

Estimate 31

Estimate Manufacturing Controlling Software Developers 31

Herding Cats

AUGUST 27, 2017

There's a recent post titled Four Fallacious Reasons to Estimate. It lists the usual suspects for why those spending the money think they don't have to estimate how much they plan to spend when they'll be done producing the value they've been assigned to produce for that expenditure. Let's look at each one in more detail.

Estimate 46

Estimate Software Review Underperforming Technical Team Technical Review 46

Herding Cats

MAY 8, 2016

ways to make decisions with No Estimates. Uncertainty of course is present in all software development work both reducible and irreducible uncertainty. can we make a decision in the presence of Uncertainty without making an estimate of the impact or outcome of that decision? An estimate is. It's a fallacy.

Estimate 28

Estimate Underperforming Technical Team Software Governance 28

MPUG

JULY 15, 2019

Now, imagine a software development project. Also, in software development, requirement change is the rule, rather than the exception. In this case, a traveler is booking a flight ticket. Once have your stories, you break them down to tasks, which can be estimated in hours. Choosing the travel date = Need.

Agile 99

Agile Software Review Infrastructure Estimate 99

Teamweek

FEBRUARY 9, 2024

In this article, we compare the top alternatives to Paymo based on their features, pros and cons, integrations, and pricing. Project resource management : Toggl Plan’s team Availability Overview lets you visualize team members’ bookings and capacity over a given period to assign the best available resources to the project.

2024 59

2024 Software Review Planning Software Developers 59

Herding Cats

MARCH 24, 2016

One of the escape clauses of #Noestimates is to re-label Forecasting as NOT Estimating , It is forecasting, based on empirical data. This is in comparison for estimating purpose for a theoretical model that produces data, parametric from empirical or theoretical models that produce data. All are estimates about some outcome.

Estimate 38

Estimate Controlling SCRUM Software Developers 38

MPUG

JANUARY 14, 2022

Please find below a transcription of the audio portion of Sam Bell’s course, Critical Path Modeling Using Microsoft Project (Lesson 1: Estimating Resources and Using Resource Calendars), being provided by MPUG for the convenience of our members. Or if I just need a high level estimate, we can take time to actually do the planning later.

Estimate 40

Estimate Underperforming Technical Team Software Review Planning 40

Herding Cats

MARCH 17, 2019

Here are my collected works, presentations, briefings, journal papers, articles, white papers, and essays, used to increase the Probability of Project Success (PoPS) I've developed and applied over my career in the software-intensive system of systems domain. How to Develop Credible Cost & Schedule Estimate.

2003 54

2003 2011 2008 Performance Measurement 54

Leading Agile

NOVEMBER 13, 2018

In discussing the delivery capacity of a software development team, we can say “velocity” and everyone knows we mean the amount of work the team can complete, on average, in a given time interval , and we don’t mean, literally, va=v+v02. “Velocity” in software development doesn’t mean velocity.

Software Review 113

Software Review Underperforming Technical Team Software Developers Software Development 113

Herding Cats

MAY 29, 2018

And thence arise certain prejudices, for the removing of which, it will be convenient to distinguish them into Absolute and Relative, True and Apparent, Mathematical and Common - Issac Newton, Philosophiae Naturalis Principia Mathematica , Book I, def. From The Order of Time , Carlo Rovelli , Riverhead Books, 2017. Related articles.

2017 28

2017 Estimate Software Developers Software Development 28

Herding Cats

DECEMBER 28, 2017

Estimation is pretentious rationalism, where rationalism does not serve us well (extremistan)(sic) Take only risks you can survive. These estimates can not the ultimate truth since the underlying processes that create the uncertainties (aleatory and epistemic) are stochastic in nature - stationary or nonstationary. The Fallacy.

2009 40

2009 Estimate Software Developers Software Development 40

Herding Cats

MAY 15, 2019

Story points were invented to bridge the need to answer these questions between the business and development team using a method for writing software that would later be called agile. These developers started with a very good concept that wasn’t there before: The story. Quickly estimate issues. Bibliography.

Software Review 37

Software Review Agile Development Team Review Estimate 37

Herding Cats

JUNE 2, 2017

For the most part, the briefing follows Tony Magennis' approach from his book. So the first part is following standard estimating principles. So let's look at this manifesto : Probabilistic over Deterministic - there is no deterministic process in software development. From large construction to software development.

Estimate 35

Estimate Software Developers Software Development Risk Management 35

Herding Cats

OCTOBER 27, 2017

Asking to be trusted , asking to be allowed to self-organize and spend other people's money in the development of value. Many times asking to not be asked for an estimate, or to show progress to plan, or to not be held to a deadline, or to report on when they'll be done. Related articles. Trust Requires a Track Record.

Manufacturing 39

Manufacturing Estimate Software Developers Software Development 39

Herding Cats

JULY 5, 2016

This quote is misused to suggest that estimating can't be done. He's speaking about Chess playing program - and doing so from the perspective of 1978 style software development. This notion is part of the recursive Hofstadter's Law which is what the whole book is about. Related articles. IT Risk Management.

Estimate 34

Estimate Software Developers Software Development Manufacturing 34

International Institute for Learning

JUNE 22, 2022

Despite our rudimentary technology, we were (in my estimate) at least as productive and less stressed out than most people are today. I can write the first draft of an article in 2-hours—it, then, takes another 10-hours to edit. Kanban is a flow-based management practice initially developed to reduce inventory and manufacturing costs.

Technical Review 52

Technical Review Software Review Lean PMI 52

Herding Cats

JANUARY 11, 2018

This is the basis of all Closed Loop Control systems, from the speed control of the car, to the flight controls for an aircraft, to the temperature controls for your home, and of course the business controls for software development. Right and wrong cease to be useful concepts when you’re talking about software development.

Agile 39

Agile Software Developers Software Development Estimate 39

Leading Answers

MAY 1, 2020

For example, a project I worked on to develop and roll out a custom GPS routing solution for truck drivers used an agile approach for the software development—and a largely predictive approach for scheduling the equipment install in the trucks and training the drivers. It is a rewarding place to work, so own it and enjoy it.

Agile 88

Agile Finance Executing 2020 88

Herding Cats

JUNE 25, 2016

There's another rash of Twitter posters supporting the conjecture that decisions can be made about how to spend other people's money without estimating the impact and outcome of that decision. There are 100's more books, papers, conference proceedings on the topic of decision making in the presence of uncertanty. Related articles.

2008 44

2008 Finance Estimate Software Developers 44

Binfire

AUGUST 27, 2017

The conclusion was reached by the research team that an incremental approach to software development works better. The team creates a working prototype quickly and then incrementally improves the software both in terms of functionality and quality. Project Estimation. No wonder so many projects were failing.

Agile 97

Agile Technical Review Software Review Development Team Review 97

Herding Cats

MARCH 30, 2017

Talking with the moving van owner, he started telling stories about estimating the load in pounds. The agent makes the first estimate of the weight of the load, issues a quote for the cost of the move. The quality of the estimate depends on the skill and experience of the estimator.

Estimate 28

Estimate Software Developers Software Development Closing 28

Herding Cats

MARCH 31, 2017

Related articles. Two Books in the Spectrum of Software Development. Estimating Processes in Support of Economic Analysis. With all this in place - to whatever scale is appropriate for the problem at hand, we need the final pieces. There, now we've got Principles, Processes, and Practices all connected.

Process 53

Process Engineering Software Developers Software Development 53

Herding Cats

AUGUST 2, 2017

While the book was written in 1914, there is still much to be applied in today's world, where in many cases we've inverted the structure of the business in the minds of some who work in the business. So it's not clear how the self-organizing aspects of Agile software development are not aligned with this 1914 description of work.

Manufacturing 40

Manufacturing Influencer Agile Software Developers 40

Herding Cats

MAY 29, 2018

And thence arise certain prejudices, for the removing of which, it will be convenient to distinguish them into Absolute and Relative, True and Apparent, Mathematical and Common - Issac Newton, Philosophiae Naturalis Principia Mathematica , Book I, def. From The Order of Time , Carlo Rovelli , Riverhead Books, 2017. Related articles.

2017 19

2017 Estimate Software Developers Software Development 19

Herding Cats

SEPTEMBER 24, 2016

The idea behind the #NoEstimates approach to software development isn't to eliminate estimates but, rather, to explore other ways to solve problems without specifically asking, 'How long will it take?'. There are many dozens of other books, and 100's of papers describing how to make estimates in the presence of uncertainty. .

Estimate 28

Estimate Software Developers Software Development Risk Management 28