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A Compendium of Works to Increase the Probability of Project Success

Herding Cats

Integrated Master Plan: The Foundation of Program Success , College of Performance Management, May 21, 2014. Event-Based Scheduling , 10 November 2006. Big Data Meets Earned Value Management , ICEAA 2015 Professional Development & Traning Workshop , June 10-13, 2014. How to Develop Credible Cost & Schedule Estimate.

2003 54
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Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

requires making estimates) ? México, 1 al 3 de Febrero de 2006. Pich, Working Paper, 21/2006, Cambridge University, Judge Business School. “A Estimation of Long?Term Making these decisions in the presence Uncertainty ? reducible and irreducible ? Effective Risk Management 2 nd Edition , Edmund Conrow, AIAA, 2003.

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A Compendium of Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

requires making estimates) ? México, 1 al 3 de Febrero de 2006. Pich, Working Paper, 21/2006, Cambridge University, Judge Business School. “A Estimation of Long?Term Making these decisions in the presence Uncertainty ? reducible and irreducible ? Effective Risk Management 2nd Edition, Edmund Conrow, AIAA, 2003.

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Misunderstanding Making Decisions in the Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

What happens if you shift focus from "accurate estimation" to "reliably shipping by a date"? . If your project has no uncertainty, there is no need to estimate. All estimates have precision and accuracy. Deciding how much precision and accuracy is needed for a credible estimate is critical to the success of that decision.

2003 46
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Resources for Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

Some feel that the cone does not provide any value for the work they do and does not match the reducing uncertainty in their estimates. First, the Cone of Uncertainty is a Principle used to define the needed reduction in the variances of estimates on Programs. Remember Risk Management is How Adults Manage Projects - Tim Lister.

2007 34
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The Trouble with Charts

Herding Cats

The other statistical issue is the chart showing #Noestimates versus other types of estimates. But the sample space of the total population of projects with #Noestmates as their estimating technique is only 3% of the total population. Maybe 11 to 12 for No Estimates and maybe some less than 15 for Light Weight Scrum, say 13. .

2006 37
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Modeling the Future is the Basis of Project Success

Herding Cats

The previous approaches to project performance management and production of the Estimate to Complete and Estimate at Completion make use of past performance. Modeling Project Behaviour," Alberto De Marco, Time Management, Methodology, Cost Control, Skill Development , 2006. "Is 1-11, January 2014. 413-426, 2013.