Herding Cats

AUGUST 27, 2017

There's a recent post titled Four Fallacious Reasons to Estimate. It lists the usual suspects for why those spending the money think they don't have to estimate how much they plan to spend when they'll be done producing the value they've been assigned to produce for that expenditure. Let's look at each one in more detail.

Estimate 46

Estimate Software Review Underperforming Technical Team Technical Review 46

ProProfs Project Management

JANUARY 21, 2020

It refers to any prediction or estimation made on a project’s status, including how it will unfold in the future. The shortest time estimated to complete a specific project task or activity is known as optimistic duration. Performance Measurement Baseline. It is an estimation technique based on an expert consensus.

Underperforming Technical Team 111

Underperforming Technical Team Estimate Risk Management Defining 111

Herding Cats

OCTOBER 1, 2016

For software, this can be value produced (assuming we have a unit of measure for that value in the for of effectiveness, performance, key performance parameters, or technical performance measures ). It can be the cost, schedule, and technical performance measures of the software project.

Closing 28

Closing Estimate Controlling Process 28

Herding Cats

OCTOBER 12, 2018

In most of the software development, this notion is missing - hence the quote that What is divided from How. In Earned Value Management paradigm, progress is always measured as physical percent complete. The MOE's belong to the End User - this is the what part of the development project.

Engineering 32

Engineering Performance Measurement Underperforming Technical Team Risk Management 32

Herding Cats

JUNE 19, 2017

The Cone of Uncertainty is a framing assumption used to model the needed reduction in some parameter of interest in domains ranging from software development to hurricane forecasting. The Cone of Uncertainty as a Technical Performance Measure. Uncertainty creates Risk. Measure of Effectiveness.

Technical Review 35

Technical Review Performance Measurement Underperforming Technical Team Estimate 35

Herding Cats

MARCH 5, 2017

The common definition of the Definition of Done in agile software development is (mostly from the Scrum Alliance and other official Scrum sites): A simple list of activities (coding, comments, unit testing, integration, release notes, design documents, etc.) Estimating Processes in Support of Economic Analysis.

Software Review 28

Software Review Technical Review Performance Measurement Estimate 28

Herding Cats

JANUARY 22, 2017

The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). Aleatory and Epistemic uncertainties, which create the risk to the success of the project. This is due to many reasons.

Technical Review 28

Technical Review 2005 Estimate Software Review 28

Herding Cats

FEBRUARY 4, 2017

The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). Aleatory and Epistemic uncertainties, which create the risk to the success of the project. This is due to many reasons.

Technical Review 28

Technical Review Estimate 2005 Software Review 28

Herding Cats

JANUARY 19, 2018

Have sufficient Contingent Budget and Management Reserve to cover the cost variances from the naturally occurring cost behaviors, event-based impacts on cost, or cover things that go wrong with the Risk Cost coverage. Have sufficient Technical Performance Measures margin to cover the required performance measure of the Capabilities.

Performance Measurement 31

Performance Measurement Estimate Finance Manufacturing 31

Herding Cats

JANUARY 17, 2017

The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). Aleatory and Epistemic uncertainties, which create the risk to the success of the project. This is due to many reasons.

Technical Review 28

Technical Review 2005 Estimate Software Review 28

Herding Cats

JANUARY 14, 2017

The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates or any other project attribute (in this post, cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). Aleatory and Epistemic uncertainties, which create risk to the success of the project. So the question is? -

Technical Review 28

Technical Review Software Review Underperforming Technical Team Risk Management 28

Herding Cats

FEBRUARY 9, 2018

I've seen estimates abused by bad managers, so let's NOT estimate and that will fix the behavior of Bad Managers." While the human behaviors are real and observable, conjecturing that decisions can be made in the presence of uncertainty without estimating the outcome of those decisions, there is no principle to support that conjecture.

Underperforming Technical Team 44

Underperforming Technical Team Estimate 2003 Software Review 44

Herding Cats

OCTOBER 27, 2016

Risk Management is how Adults Manage Projects - Tim Lister. There are two kinds of uncertainty on all projects, no matter the domain, including software development projects. Both these drivers of risk will impact the probability of success of projects. Risk Management is Project Management for Adults.

2009 28

2009 2015 Influencer Performance Measurement 28

Herding Cats

AUGUST 14, 2016

Many blogs, tweets, books are spent of speaking about Value as the priority in agile software development. We produce Value at the end of every Sprint Value is the most important aspect of Scrum based development. MOP's are attributes that assure the systems to capability to perform. They identify technical risk.

Performance Measurement 49

Performance Measurement Engineering Lean Software Developers 49

Herding Cats

JULY 24, 2017

The paper on the Cone of Uncertainty is used by many in the No Estimates community as an example of why estimates are of little use. In this paper, there is data that does not follow the Cone of Uncertainty, in that the uncertainty of the estimates does not reduce as the project proceeds. Then there is some analysis.

2007 42

2007 2012 2006 2008 42

Herding Cats

NOVEMBER 14, 2018

AHP was developed in the 1970s by Dr. Thomas Saaty. In our agile software development world, AHP is rarely found. Using this method, the performance, cost, time, and risks of alternatives can be articulated as ratios that can then be compared with one another. Risk assessment can be made with Ordinal value as well.

Technical Review 47

Technical Review 2010 2014 Software Developers 47

Herding Cats

JUNE 9, 2018

There is always lots of complaining about the biases introduced into managing projects and making the estimates needed to make project decisions. Optimism bias - a cognitive bias that causes a person to believe that they are at a lesser risk of experiencing a negative event compared to others. Kirchler, D. Andersson, C. Sorensen, M.

Transportation 39

Transportation Software Engineering Finance 2011 39

Herding Cats

AUGUST 1, 2018

We're writing two chapters in an upcoming Project Management Book, with a working title, The Gower Handbook of Project Performance for Agile, Waterfall and Everything in Between , edited by Mark Phillips. One chapter on the Principles of Risk Management and the second chapter on the Practices of Risk Management. 37–48, 2007.

2012 29

2012 2007 2010 2006 29

Herding Cats

MARCH 4, 2017

This is an immutable principle that impacts planning, execution, performance measures, decision making, risk, budgeting, and overall business and technical management of the project and the business funding the project no matter the domain, context, technology or any methods. We need a formal risk management process.

2010 28

2010 2007 Estimate Aerospace 28

Herding Cats

AUGUST 19, 2016

Rarely the case in software development, where Little's Law is misused often. The OP claimed Goodhart's Law was the source of most of the problems with software development. Is this macroeconomic model a correct operational model for software development processes - measuring changes the target ?

Performance Measurement 28

Performance Measurement Estimate Software Developers Software Development 28

Herding Cats

OCTOBER 16, 2018

In ISO 15288 this is the role of the Risk Management Processes. A second Critical Success Factor is the ability to predict what will happen in the future given the model of the project's activities and risks and the alternative designed as well as emerging designs and external processes. . This is the desired outcomes model.

Aerospace 41

Aerospace Engineering 2012 2014 41

Herding Cats

MARCH 31, 2017

With execution underway, managing the risks of the project becomes our focus beyond the engineering work. Two Books in the Spectrum of Software Development. Estimating Processes in Support of Economic Analysis. With all this in place - to whatever scale is appropriate for the problem at hand, we need the final pieces.

Process 53

Process Engineering Software Developers Software Development 53

Herding Cats

JUNE 9, 2018

There is always lots of complaining about the biases introduced into managing projects and making the estimates needed to make project decisions. Optimism bias - a cognitive bias that causes a person to believe that they are at a lesser risk of experiencing a negative event compared to others. Kirchler, D. Andersson, C. Sorensen, M.

Transportation 28

Transportation Software Engineering Finance 2011 28

Herding Cats

MARCH 11, 2018

Making changes late in the development cycle has significant impacts on the verification and validation of the system no matter the software development method. . A recent survey of 600 firms indicated that 35% of them had at least one "runaway' software project. Enthusiasm for new software capabilities is a good thing.

Software Developers 34

Software Developers Software Development Risk Management Risk 34

Herding Cats

APRIL 4, 2016

INCOSE has a Systems Engineering Journal as well with papers speaking to software development complexities . Guide the Systems Engineering Body of Knowledge - speaks to topics like Product road maps are essential for software intensive systems that have many releases of software and capability upgrades.

Engineering 28

Engineering Software Performance Measurement Finance 28

Herding Cats

APRIL 16, 2019

Business, Technical, Systems, Risk, and Project Management Briefings and Presentations. Project Performance Management (#PPM). Risk Management (#RM). Technical Performance Measures (#TPM). Agile Software Development (#ASD). Business, Technical, Systems, Risk, and Project Management.

Technical Review 42

Technical Review Performance Measurement Underperforming Technical Team Governance 42

Herding Cats

MARCH 30, 2019

Agile software development is framed by a manifesto , a set of 12 principles, several methods. These are all focused on developing software, delivering that software to those paying the developers. Anything less results in systems not worth having or fail to function or perform. [3],

Software Developers 39

Software Developers Software Development Agile Software 39

Herding Cats

APRIL 4, 2019

In a recent exchange in social media, it was clear the notion of risk and the sources of risk, the consequences or risks and managing in the presence of risk was in very unclear, when it was conjectured , we can simply slice the work into small bits and REDUCE risk. . This is good, but it doesn't reduce risk.

Risk Management 43

Risk Management Risk 2003 2011 43

Workamajig

JANUARY 11, 2021

Accept: A response to a project risk where the project manager accepts the risk and takes no action to evade it, i.e. 'accepting' the risk. This is usually in case of risks that are unlikely to occur or minor enough so as to not affect the project's outcome. Actual dates are different from planned or estimated dates.

Underperforming Technical Team 78

Underperforming Technical Team Project Life Cycle Estimate Risk Management 78

Herding Cats

APRIL 5, 2016

There a popular notions in the agile development world that authors like Hayek and Taleb speak to how software development works. Let's look at the thesis of Hayek in light of software development and the decisions that must be made when spending other people's money in the presence of uncertainty. probably not.

Software Developers 28

Software Developers Software Development Software Review Software 28

Herding Cats

NOVEMBER 5, 2018

In a previous post, Why Johnny Can't Estimate , mentioned some resources for estimating, the principles of business and technical management that demand estimates be made to make decisions, and background on the sources of uncertainty, that create risk, that require estimating to increase the probability of project success.

Software Review 34

Software Review Technical Review Estimate Software Developers 34

Wrike

NOVEMBER 7, 2018

More than 90% of organizations perform some type of project postmortem or closeout retrospective. [9]. 64% of organizations say they frequently conduct risk management. [6]. How Project Success is Measured: 20% — Satisfied stakeholders. Dynamic Systems Development Method – 3%. Managing small, low-risk projects.

2015 60

2015 Technical Review Underperforming Technical Team Software Review 60

Herding Cats

JUNE 7, 2018

Risk interaction within systems and subsystems, between functional and physical elements, can also be modeled with DSM. DSM models interacting risks in a graphical representation produce numerical simulations of the risk and impacts on the probability of program success. Traditional risk models cannot model loops.

Underperforming Technical Team 32

Underperforming Technical Team SCRUM Software Engineering Risk Management 32

Herding Cats

JUNE 7, 2018

Risk interaction within systems and subsystems, between functional and physical elements, can also be modeled with DSM. DSM models interacting risks in a graphical representation produce numerical simulations of the risk and impacts on the probability of program success. Traditional risk models cannot model loops.

Underperforming Technical Team 28

Underperforming Technical Team SCRUM Software Engineering Risk Management 28

MPUG

JUNE 1, 2022

Melanie: Jeff is currently the Training and Development Manager for Edwards Performance Solutions. As such, he oversees the production and maintenance of courses on project management, systems engineering, software development, business process improvement, and cyber security. Where’s the talk about risk?

PMI 59

PMI Software Review Estimate Risk Management 59