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Software Estimating Resources

Herding Cats

This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to estimate software-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. Cost Modeling Agile Software Development,” Maarit Laanti and Petri Kettunen, International Transactions on Systems and Applications, Volume 1 Number 2, pp. Chakraborty and K.

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4 Fallacious Reasons to Estimate and Why Those Are Fallacious

Herding Cats

There's a recent post titled Four Fallacious Reasons to Estimate. It lists the usual suspects for why those spending the money think they don't have to estimate how much they plan to spend when they'll be done producing the value they've been assigned to produce for that expenditure. Let's look at each one in more detail.

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How to Estimate Any Software Problem

Herding Cats

ways to make decisions with No Estimates. can we make a decision in the presence of Uncertainty without making an estimate of the impact or outcome of that decision? What would be the evidence that we could make decisions in the presence of uncertanty without estimating the impacts and outcomes of those decisions? . Start here.

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Reading List for the Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

The primary purpose of software estimation is not to predict a project’s outcome; it is to determine whether a project’s targets are realistic enough to allow the project to be controlled to meet them ? Little [8] makes the claim that agile methods don't follow the Cone - that is the uncertainty doesn't reduce as the project proceeds.

2012 48
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Misunderstanding Making Decisions in the Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

What happens if you shift focus from "accurate estimation" to "reliably shipping by a date"? . If your project has no uncertainty, there is no need to estimate. This is the motivation for short work intervals found in agile development. . All estimates have precision and accuracy. First, let's establish a principle.

2003 46
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Incremental Commitment Spiral Model

Herding Cats

It's a popular misconception of the agile community that Waterfall is used in any domain outside their own personal experience, and Big Design Up Front (BDUF) and Big Bang Development (BBD) are the only alternatives to Agile. . Why Guessing is not Estimating and Estimating is not Guessing. 4, December 1975.

2003 38
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Cone of Uncertainty Bibliography

Herding Cats

I work in a domain where the CoU is baked into the Integrated Program Performance Management (IPPM) processes flowed down from the buyer, in this case, the Federal Government. This can be the confidence in the estimate for any variable. IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management , 57 (4), pp. IN this case Mean Time To Failure.